URA 3-2 Kiboga Young — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

URA
3-2
Kiboga Young
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

URA vs Kiboga Young Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.95
No
59%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-11.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
30%
+10.8pp
59%
BTTS No
70%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

URA v Kiboga Young — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME URA EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.79/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/2.67
-13% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -35%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
417 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.8

URA vs Kiboga Young Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME URA
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kiboga Young
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Kiboga Young 0-4 HT 0-3 URA URA UGA

URA 3-2 Kiboga Young — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME URA
3-2
AWAY Kiboga Young
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH URA vs Kiboga Young
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

URA nicked a narrow win over Kiboga Young 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had URA as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, URA had 52% of the ball to Kiboga Young's 48%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of URA vs Kiboga Young?

URA 3-2 Kiboga Young in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for URA vs Kiboga Young?

Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split URA 61%, draw 22%, Kiboga Young 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (URA) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (URA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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