SC Villa 1-0 Vipers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.8pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vipers EU Bookmakers 48%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.73/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.89
-13% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Vipers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Vipers Vipers 2-1 HT 1-1 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
09.04.2024 SC Villa SC Villa 0-0 HT 0-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
02.02.2022 Vipers Vipers 3-0 HT 1-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
1-0
AWAY Vipers
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Vipers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa edged past Vipers 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; SC Villa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SC Villa had 46% of the ball to Vipers's 54%, shots finished 5-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vipers led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for SC Villa and 1.67 for Vipers.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Vipers?

SC Villa 1-0 Vipers in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Vipers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 31%, draw 30%, Vipers 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vipers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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