Monaro Panthers 1-2 O Connor Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒10:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaro Panthers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 42%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.88/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.00
-44% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaro Panthers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY O Connor Knights
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 1-2 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
17.06.2023 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 0-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVTCT
29.04.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-1 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVNPL
17.09.2022 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 2-0 HT 1-0 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVTCT
20.08.2022 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 2-0 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
25.06.2022 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 0-2 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Monaro Panthers vs O Connor Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Connor Knights squeezed past Monaro Panthers 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; O Connor Knights found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monaro Panthers and 0.83 for O Connor Knights.

What was the final score of Monaro Panthers vs O Connor Knights?

Monaro Panthers 1-2 O Connor Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaro Panthers vs O Connor Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaro Panthers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Monaro Panthers 40%, draw 21%, O Connor Knights 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monaro Panthers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monaro Panthers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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