Katwijk 3-1 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-10.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 29%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.37
-100% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.80 xG 0.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
334 Passes 148
77% Pass Accuracy 58%
30 Box Touches 12
36 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 2-0 HT 2-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
12.01.2019 Katwijk Katwijk 0-1 HT 0-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
19.05.2018 Katwijk Katwijk 1-2 HT 1-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
3-1
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk got the better of Koninklijke HFC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Katwijk had 51% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 49%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Koninklijke HFC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Katwijk and 1.67 for Koninklijke HFC.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC?

Katwijk 3-1 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 41%, draw 27%, Koninklijke HFC 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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