Benfica II 0-1 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
17.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.50/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/1.82
+50% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 19.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AVS
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 0.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 304
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 6
02.12.2023 AVS AVS 1-0 HT 1-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
0-1
AWAY AVS
0.78 xG 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
240 Passes 344
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AVS nicked a narrow win over Benfica II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day AVS made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Benfica II had 44% of the ball to AVS's 56%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.78 to 1.40.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs AVS?

Benfica II 0-1 AVS in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated an AVS win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 33%, draw 28%, AVS 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AVS), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AVS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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