CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Academico Viseu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.65
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.43
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 46%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.20/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.44
-18% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.5 Crosses 19.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.97 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
241 Passes 362
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 3-1 HT 2-0 CF Os Belenenses POR2
15.04.2023 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
30.10.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-1 HT 1-0 CF Os Belenenses POR2
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Academico Viseu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses squeezed past Academico Viseu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Academico Viseu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Academico Viseu led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 2.00 for Academico Viseu.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Academico Viseu?

CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Academico Viseu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 32%, draw 27%, Academico Viseu 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academico Viseu), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
13 Apr 2024
16:00 Uniao De Leiria vs Vilaverdense Analysis →
17:30 Benfica II vs AVS Analysis →
17:30 Tondela vs Penafiel Analysis →