FC Sochi 1-0 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

FC Sochi
1-0 HT 0-0
Spartak Moskova
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

FC Sochi vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.0
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.3
X/1
13%
5.78
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
11%
4.63
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
13%
3.46
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 1/X at 13.3 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Sochi v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -26%
1.37/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.33
+6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
18.7 Crosses 18.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

FC Sochi vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.70
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
291 Passes 416
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
05.11.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
14.08.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
13.12.2021 FC Sochi FC Sochi 3-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
26.08.2021 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
12.12.2020 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS

FC Sochi 1-0 Spartak Moskova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
1-0
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.84 xG 0.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
309 Passes 341
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi nicked a narrow win over Spartak Moskova 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day FC Sochi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Sochi had 48% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 52%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.84 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sochi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Sochi and 1.00 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Spartak Moskova?

FC Sochi 1-0 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 38%, draw 30%, Spartak Moskova 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sochi), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✓ Under 2.5
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