Albacete 0-2 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.8
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.05
2-3
51%
1.77
4-5
17%
3.69
6+
9%
15.5
Value flag · 2-3 at 1.77 — our 51% vs market 48.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.26
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
11%
13.4
X/1
10%
6.08
X/2
9%
5.39
X/X
12%
4.53
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.53
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.49/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.04
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +68%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.3 Crosses 22.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Granada
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.98 xG 1.78
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
203 Passes 354
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.08.2024 Granada Granada 1-2 HT 1-2 Albacete Albacete İS2
18.03.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-2 HT 0-1 Granada Granada İS2
18.11.2022 Granada Granada 4-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
20.05.2019 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
04.01.2019 Granada Granada 1-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
14.01.2018 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
0-2
AWAY Granada
1.33 xG 0.71
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
242 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada saw off Albacete 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Granada found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Albacete had 47% of the ball to Granada's 53%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.33 to 0.71 — on chances, Albacete could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Granada led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Albacete and 1.67 for Granada.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Granada?

Albacete 0-2 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Albacete 38%, draw 28%, Granada 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Albacete), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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