Almeria vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Cartagena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Cartagena
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-1
Cartagena
İS2
1-3
HT 0-2
Almeria
İS2
3-2
HT 1-1
Almeria
İS2
Almeria 2-1 Cartagena — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria edged past Cartagena 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Almeria had 59% of the ball to Cartagena's 41%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 2.38 to 1.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Almeria and 1.17 for Cartagena.
What was the final score of Almeria vs Cartagena?
Almeria 2-1 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria vs Cartagena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Almeria 67%, draw 18%, Cartagena 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.