Arenteiro 1-1 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.04
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.32/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.46
-5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenteiro
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ourense CF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Ourense CF Ourense CF 0-1 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
04.12.2022 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS4
POST-MATCH Arenteiro vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenteiro and Ourense CF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arenteiro at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arenteiro had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arenteiro and 0.00 for Ourense CF.

What was the final score of Arenteiro vs Ourense CF?

Arenteiro 1-1 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenteiro vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenteiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arenteiro 42%, draw 30%, Ourense CF 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arenteiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arenteiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
13 Apr 2025
13:00 Real Union vs Lugo Analysis →
13:00 Hercules vs Merida AD Analysis →
13:00 Algeciras vs Alcorcon Analysis →
13:00 Atletico Sanluqueno vs Villarreal II Analysis →
16:30 Real Sociedad II vs FC Andorra Analysis →
18:30 Gimnastica Segoviana vs Celta Vigo II Analysis →