Gimnastica Torrelavega 4-0 Real Valladolid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.68
Over
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
0.64/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.23
-50% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Valladolid II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 3-3 HT 0-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
07.04.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 3-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
26.11.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
26.02.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
08.10.2022 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 3-2 HT 2-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Real Valladolid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Torrelavega swept aside Real Valladolid II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Gimnastica Torrelavega found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Valladolid II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Gimnastica Torrelavega and 2.00 for Real Valladolid II.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Real Valladolid II?

Gimnastica Torrelavega 4-0 Real Valladolid II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Real Valladolid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastica Torrelavega win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Torrelavega 38%, draw 28%, Real Valladolid II 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastica Torrelavega), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastica Torrelavega) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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