Real Valladolid II 3-3 Gimnastica Torrelavega — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.6
Over
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -18%
1.35/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.52
+12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Valladolid II
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 3-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
26.11.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
26.02.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
08.10.2022 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 3-2 HT 2-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
3-3
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs Gimnastica Torrelavega
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II and Gimnastica Torrelavega shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Valladolid II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 55% of the ball to Gimnastica Torrelavega's 45%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Real Valladolid II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Real Valladolid II and 0.75 for Gimnastica Torrelavega.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Real Valladolid II 3-3 Gimnastica Torrelavega in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Valladolid II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 41%, draw 26%, Gimnastica Torrelavega 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Valladolid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
1 Dec 2024
13:30 Melilla vs Getafe II Analysis →
13:30 Real Madrid III vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
14:00 CD Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero Analysis →
14:00 Union Adarve vs Rayo Majadahonda Analysis →
14:00 Atlético Paso vs Mostoles Analysis →
14:00 SS Reyes vs Conquense Analysis →