Guijuelo 1-4 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.59
Over Pick
54%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
59%
-12.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
41%
+12.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -7%
1.23/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.49
+11% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 2-2 HT 1-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
03.03.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-2 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
21.10.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
11.02.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
24.09.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 0-0 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria cruised past Guijuelo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Rayo Cantabria found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guijuelo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Guijuelo and 0.80 for Rayo Cantabria.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Rayo Cantabria?

Guijuelo 1-4 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 34%, draw 26%, Rayo Cantabria 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Cantabria), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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