Rayo Cantabria 2-2 Guijuelo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.52
Over
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.74/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.03
+24% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Guijuelo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-2 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
21.10.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
11.02.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
24.09.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 0-0 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs Guijuelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria and Guijuelo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rayo Cantabria at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guijuelo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rayo Cantabria and 1.00 for Guijuelo.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs Guijuelo?

Rayo Cantabria 2-2 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs Guijuelo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 45%, draw 27%, Guijuelo 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
1 Dec 2024
13:30 Melilla vs Getafe II Analysis →
13:30 Real Madrid III vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
14:00 CD Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero Analysis →
14:00 Union Adarve vs Rayo Majadahonda Analysis →
14:00 Atlético Paso vs Mostoles Analysis →
14:00 SS Reyes vs Conquense Analysis →