Navalcarnero vs CD Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Navalcarnero v CD Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Navalcarnero vs CD Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Navalcarnero
İS4
1-1
HT 1-0
Navalcarnero
İS4
0-2
HT 0-0
CD Guadalajara
İS4
Navalcarnero 2-1 CD Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Navalcarnero edged past CD Guadalajara 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Navalcarnero found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Navalcarnero had 57% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 43%, shots finished 13-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, CD Guadalajara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Navalcarnero and 1.80 for CD Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs CD Guadalajara?
Navalcarnero 2-1 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs CD Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 39%, draw 28%, CD Guadalajara 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Navalcarnero), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.