Wil 1900 2-2 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.09
2-3
36%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.51
6+
10%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.09 — our 30% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.37/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.53
+11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.2 Crosses 11.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wil 1900
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.95 xG 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
355 Passes 423
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.01.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-1 HT 1-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
30.11.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-1 HT 1-1 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
30.08.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-1 HT 1-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wil 1900
2-2
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.14 xG 0.64
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
315 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 22
6 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wil 1900 vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 and Etoile Carouge shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wil 1900 had 46% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 54%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.14 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wil 1900 and 1.67 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Wil 1900 vs Etoile Carouge?

Wil 1900 2-2 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wil 1900 vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wil 1900 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wil 1900 39%, draw 29%, Etoile Carouge 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wil 1900) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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