Wil 1900 2-1 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.20/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.65
+0% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.0 Crosses 11.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wil 1900
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.63 xG 1.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
374 Passes 481
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-1 HT 1-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wil 1900
2-1
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.31 xG 1.32
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
273 Passes 432
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wil 1900 vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 edged past Etoile Carouge 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Wil 1900 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wil 1900 had 42% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 58%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.31 to 1.32.

What was the final score of Wil 1900 vs Etoile Carouge?

Wil 1900 2-1 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wil 1900 vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wil 1900 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wil 1900 37%, draw 29%, Etoile Carouge 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wil 1900), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wil 1900) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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