Bellinzona 1-1 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 29% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 28%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.89/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.46
-29% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.3 Crosses 15.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
265 Passes 327
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-1 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
09.05.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-3 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
09.03.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
27.10.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-3 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
01.10.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
04.06.2022 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-2 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
1-1
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.26 xG 0.46
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
431 Passes 214
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bellinzona and Stade Nyonnais couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bellinzona at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bellinzona had 62% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 38%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.26 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bellinzona had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bellinzona and 1.33 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais?

Bellinzona 1-1 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 46%, draw 23%, Stade Nyonnais 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bellinzona) ✗ BTTS No
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