Thun vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thun v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Thun vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-2
HT 3-0
Thun
İSV2
2-0
HT 1-0
Aarau
İSV2
2-3
HT 0-3
Aarau
İSV2
Thun 1-1 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Thun and Aarau couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Thun at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Thun had 48% of the ball to Aarau's 52%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.91 to 1.55.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Thun and 2.00 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Thun vs Aarau?
Thun 1-1 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thun vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Thun 45%, draw 25%, Aarau 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5 went the other way.