Vestri 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.10/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.57
-31% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -38%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
219 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 83%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
26.0 Crosses 22.7
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
0W-0D-3L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.57 xG 1.84
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
202 Passes 289
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Vestri Vestri 0-2 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
04.05.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2 HT 1-2 Vestri Vestri İZL
17.02.2024 Vestri Vestri 0-1 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
1-0
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
0.28 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
389 Passes 430
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vestri vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri edged past FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Vestri found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vestri had 49% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 51%, shots finished 4-9, expected goals 0.28 to 1.11 — on chances, FH Hafnarfjordur could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vestri and 2.00 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Vestri vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Vestri 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated an FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vestri 36%, draw 23%, FH Hafnarfjordur 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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