Fram Reykjavik 4-2 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 59%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.52/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.34
+56% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 85%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
15.0 Crosses 25.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Breidablik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.77 xG 2.68
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
236 Passes 518
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2025 Breidablik Breidablik 1-3 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
19.08.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
26.05.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-4 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
14.07.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
28.04.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 5-4 HT 3-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
22.08.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
4-2
AWAY Breidablik
2.04 xG 0.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
252 Passes 495
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik saw off Breidablik 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Breidablik at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 38% of the ball to Breidablik's 62%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.04 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 2.67 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik?

Fram Reykjavik 4-2 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 20%, draw 27%, Breidablik 53%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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