Mainz 05 II vs Hoffenheim II Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 II v Hoffenheim II — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 II vs Hoffenheim II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Hoffenheim II
ALMBÖL
1-2
HT 0-2
Hoffenheim II
ALMBÖL
1-3
HT 1-2
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
3-2
HT 2-2
Hoffenheim II
ALMBÖL
Hoffenheim II cruised past Mainz 05 II 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hoffenheim II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mainz 05 II and 2.00 for Hoffenheim II.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Hoffenheim II?
Mainz 05 II 1-5 Hoffenheim II in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Hoffenheim II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 26%, draw 26%, Hoffenheim II 48%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim II), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.