Hoffenheim II vs Mainz 05 II Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hoffenheim II v Mainz 05 II — Team-Based Signals
Hoffenheim II vs Mainz 05 II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Hoffenheim II
ALMBÖL
1-2
HT 0-2
Hoffenheim II
ALMBÖL
1-3
HT 1-2
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
3-2
HT 2-2
Hoffenheim II
ALMBÖL
0-1
HT 0-0
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
0-1
HT 0-1
Hoffenheim II
ALMBÖL
Hoffenheim II 2-0 Mainz 05 II — Actual Match Statistics
Hoffenheim II got the better of Mainz 05 II 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hoffenheim II as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hoffenheim II had 52% of the ball to Mainz 05 II's 48%, shots finished 18-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hoffenheim II and 1.50 for Mainz 05 II.
What was the final score of Hoffenheim II vs Mainz 05 II?
Hoffenheim II 2-0 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hoffenheim II vs Mainz 05 II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim II 52%, draw 23%, Mainz 05 II 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.