FC Santa Coloma 1-0 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.28
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.33
No
48%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-9.2pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.7pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
39%
+13.7pp
48%
BTTS No
61%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
2.69/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.77
+2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Santa Coloma
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2025 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
06.10.2024 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 2-1 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
21.04.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-4 HT 1-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
21.01.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
14.01.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-2 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma ANDK
08.10.2023 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 0-1 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Santa Coloma
1-0
AWAY Penya Encarnada
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Santa Coloma edged past Penya Encarnada 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Santa Coloma as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Santa Coloma had 52% of the ball to Penya Encarnada's 48%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Santa Coloma had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Santa Coloma and 1.00 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of FC Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

FC Santa Coloma 1-0 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FC Santa Coloma 65%, draw 21%, Penya Encarnada 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Santa Coloma) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Santa Coloma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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