Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 Western United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
28%
3.17
Over Pick
72%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.31
No
31%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1
14%
8.1
2-3
30%
2.36
4-5
30%
2.35
6+
26%
3.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.06
1/2
7%
21.65
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
12%
6.2
X/2
9%
7.0
X/X
8%
7.03
2/1
8%
19.55
2/2
26%
3.7
2/X
8%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
35%
+7.2pp
28%
Under 2.5
28%
-0.3pp
72%
Over 2.5
72%
+0.3pp
69%
BTTS Yes
72%
-3.2pp
31%
BTTS No
28%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.97/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.71
+35% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
18.9 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Western United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 1.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
459 Passes 380
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Western United Western United 1-1 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
08.03.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-0 Western United Western United AVUS
27.01.2024 Western United Western United 0-1 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
28.10.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 5-0 HT 5-0 Western United Western United AVUS
05.02.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Western United Western United AVUS
18.12.2022 Western United Western United 1-0 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
2-0
AWAY Western United
1.70 xG 1.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
329 Passes 445
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Western United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers beat Western United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Western United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (69%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 44% of the ball to Western United's 56%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.70 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 0.83 for Western United.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Western United?

Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 Western United in the Australia - A-League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Western United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 35%, draw 23%, Western United 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Western United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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