Western United 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
16%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.77
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
9%
11.8
X/1
13%
6.31
X/2
12%
5.75
X/X
9%
5.17
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
18%
3.31
2/X
6%
11.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.70/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.83
-3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
19.9 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.05 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
367 Passes 475
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-0 Western United Western United AVUS
27.01.2024 Western United Western United 0-1 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
28.10.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 5-0 HT 5-0 Western United Western United AVUS
05.02.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Western United Western United AVUS
18.12.2022 Western United Western United 1-0 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
20.02.2022 Western United Western United 3-2 HT 2-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United
1-1
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.31 xG 0.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
363 Passes 525
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Western United vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United and Western Sydney Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Western United had 43% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 57%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.31 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Western United and 1.67 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Western United vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Western United 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Western United 40%, draw 24%, Western Sydney Wanderers 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUS More Australia - A-League
27 Oct 2024
06:00 Auckland vs Sydney Analysis →