Gangwon 1-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.21
2-3 Goals
51%
1.86
4-5 Goals
13%
5.99
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.34
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
10%
15.45
X/1
13%
6.33
X/2
19%
4.73
X/X
16%
3.61
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.44
2/X
3%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.16/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/0.58
-4% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +100%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.2 Crosses 16.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 Passes 441
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-2 HT 1-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
07.07.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
10.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 4-2 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
08.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
07.07.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
23.04.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
1-0
AWAY Gwangju
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
193 Passes 483
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Crosses 15
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon squeezed past Gwangju 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gwangju at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Gangwon had 32% of the ball to Gwangju's 68%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gangwon and 1.33 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Gwangju?

Gangwon 1-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 29%, draw 29%, Gwangju 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gwangju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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