Utrecht 3-1 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 13 Apr 2025

Utrecht
3-1 HT 3-1
Groningen
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Utrecht vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.58
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.54
X/2
12%
8.27
X/X
12%
4.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
8%
6.53
2/X
9%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht v Groningen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -16%
1.86/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.47
-18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
27.7 Crosses 15.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Utrecht vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Groningen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 0.89
49% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
309 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
07.04.2023 Groningen Groningen 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
06.11.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 2-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
20.03.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 1-3 HT 0-2 Groningen Groningen HOL
21.08.2021 Groningen Groningen 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
19.05.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL

Utrecht 3-1 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
3-1
AWAY Groningen
1.41 xG 0.89
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
258 Passes 479
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Utrecht vs Groningen
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Utrecht beat Groningen 3-1 in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13 Apr 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Utrecht had 39% of the ball to Groningen's 61%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.41 to 0.89.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Utrecht and 0.83 for Groningen.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs Groningen?

Utrecht 3-1 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 45%, draw 28%, Groningen 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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