Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heracles v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals
Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Heracles
HOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Heracles
HOL
4-1
HT 2-1
Heracles
HOK
Heracles 1-0 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics
Heracles edged past AZ Alkmaar 1-0 in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13 Apr 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Heracles had 51% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 49%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.02 to 0.56.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Heracles and 1.67 for AZ Alkmaar.
What was the final score of Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar?
Heracles 1-0 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar?
Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Heracles 34%, draw 25%, AZ Alkmaar 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.