Willem II 1-2 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 13 Apr 2025

Willem II
1-2 HT 1-0
Ajax
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Willem II vs Ajax Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 27% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
14.45
1/2
7%
22.0
1/X
7%
22.45
X/1
10%
16.9
X/2
15%
3.87
X/X
10%
7.27
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
33%
1.59
2/X
6%
19.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
12%
+9.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.5pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-15.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Willem II v Ajax — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 75%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
0.65/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/1.04
-42% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +3%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 83%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.7
13.8 Crosses 19.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4

Willem II vs Ajax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ajax
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.60 xG 2.45
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
217 Passes 589
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 47
6 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Ajax Ajax 1-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
19.02.2022 Willem II Willem II 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajax Ajax HOL
02.12.2021 Ajax Ajax 5-0 HT 3-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
28.01.2021 Ajax Ajax 3-1 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
23.12.2020 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 0-1 Ajax Ajax HOL
06.12.2019 Ajax Ajax 0-2 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL

Willem II 1-2 Ajax — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
1-2
AWAY Ajax
0.50 xG 2.52
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 29
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 11
230 Passes 519
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 70
8 Crosses 43
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Willem II vs Ajax
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ajax edged past Willem II 2-1 away from home in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13 Apr 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Willem II had 32% of the ball to Ajax's 68%, shots finished 6-29, expected goals 0.50 to 2.52.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Willem II and 1.83 for Ajax.

What was the final score of Willem II vs Ajax?

Willem II 1-2 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Willem II 22%, draw 23%, Ajax 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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