Santos de Guapiles 2-3 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
36%
Draw
28%
+8.1pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.56/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.47
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-3 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
24.11.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
11.09.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
18.04.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-1 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
12.02.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
13.11.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose nicked a narrow win over Santos de Guapiles 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 36% / 26% — and on the day Sporting San Jose made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting San Jose led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 1.17 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Sporting San Jose?

Santos de Guapiles 2-3 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos de Guapiles win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 38%, draw 36%, Sporting San Jose 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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