FC Sheriff 2-2 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 20%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.51/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.70
-25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Milsami
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
31.08.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
04.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
31.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
05.11.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
27.08.2023 Milsami Milsami 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
2-2
AWAY Milsami
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff and Milsami couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sheriff at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 54% of the ball to Milsami's 46%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.83 for Milsami.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Milsami?

FC Sheriff 2-2 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 51%, draw 26%, Milsami 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →