UD Oliveirense 1-1 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2025

UD Oliveirense
1-1 HT 0-1
Porto II
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

UD Oliveirense vs Porto II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.29 — our 26% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UD Oliveirense v Porto II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.44/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.25
+27% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.5 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

UD Oliveirense vs Porto II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Porto II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
258 Passes 361
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.12.2024 Porto II Porto II 2-1 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
14.04.2024 Porto II Porto II 0-1 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
02.12.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-3 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
12.02.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-1 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
21.08.2022 Porto II Porto II 2-0 HT 2-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
14.02.2021 Porto II Porto II 1-2 HT 1-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2

UD Oliveirense 1-1 Porto II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
1-1
AWAY Porto II
1.87 xG 1.41
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
219 Passes 170
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Oliveirense and Porto II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Porto II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 59% of the ball to Porto II's 41%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 1.87 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UD Oliveirense and 1.50 for Porto II.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Porto II?

UD Oliveirense 1-1 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 28%, draw 28%, Porto II 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Porto II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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