IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
IMT Novi Beograd v Spartak Subotica — Team-Based Signals
IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Spartak Subotica
SIRP
2-1
HT 1-1
IMT Novi Beograd
SIRP
IMT Novi Beograd 2-4 Spartak Subotica — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Subotica beat IMT Novi Beograd 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was IMT Novi Beograd at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 59% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 41%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.44 to 2.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Spartak Subotica led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.60 for Spartak Subotica.
What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica?
IMT Novi Beograd 2-4 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica?
Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 46%, draw 27%, Spartak Subotica 27%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.