Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Backa Topola v Novi Pazar — Team-Based Signals
Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Novi Pazar
SIRP
4-0
HT 2-0
Novi Pazar
SIRBK
2-1
HT 0-0
Backa Topola
SIRP
Backa Topola 1-2 Novi Pazar — Actual Match Statistics
Novi Pazar nicked a narrow win over Backa Topola 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Backa Topola at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Backa Topola had 56% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 44%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.06 to 1.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Backa Topola and 1.67 for Novi Pazar.
What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar?
Backa Topola 1-2 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 48%, draw 26%, Novi Pazar 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.