Sivasspor 1-3 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.49 — our 24% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
9.28
1/2
9%
20.45
1/X
5%
17.6
X/1
5%
12.05
X/2
14%
4.18
X/X
9%
6.56
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
30%
1.87
2/X
8%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+7.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
52%
Away Win
61%
-9.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 66%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
0.90/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.99
-1% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
18.9 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.92 xG 1.97
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
314 Passes 398
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
22.04.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
04.12.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-1 HT 2-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
24.05.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-0 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TÜK
03.05.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TÜK
29.04.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-3 HT 0-3 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
1-3
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.70 xG 2.09
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
312 Passes 397
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe beat Sivasspor 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sivasspor had 45% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 55%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.70 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sivasspor and 2.67 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Sivasspor 1-3 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 25%, draw 23%, Fenerbahçe 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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