Vorskla Poltava 0-2 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.54
Over
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
41%
4-5
13%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.81/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.07
-21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Polessya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Polessya Polessya 2-1 HT 1-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
29.04.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
04.04.2024 Polessya Polessya 0-1 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKRK
22.10.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-3 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vorskla Poltava
0-2
AWAY Polessya
4 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya saw off Vorskla Poltava 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Polessya made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 4-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Polessya led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 1.50 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Polessya?

Vorskla Poltava 0-2 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 32%, draw 28%, Polessya 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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