Picerno 3-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.32/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.24
+20% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2025 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
3-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno beat Cosenza Calcio 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cosenza Calcio at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Picerno had 45% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 55%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Cosenza Calcio?

Picerno 3-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Picerno 32%, draw 24%, Cosenza Calcio 44%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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