Benevento 0-1 Cavese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
12%
13.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.39 — our 24% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+0.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavese EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.90/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.68
+14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Cavese
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 Cavese Cavese 0-1 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
20.12.2024 Cavese Cavese 1-2 HT 0-2 Benevento Benevento İTC
26.08.2024 Benevento Benevento 2-1 HT 0-1 Cavese Cavese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
0-1
AWAY Cavese
73% Ball Possession 27%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Cavese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese nicked a narrow win over Benevento 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Benevento at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benevento had 73% of the ball to Cavese's 27%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Benevento had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Benevento and 0.67 for Cavese.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Cavese?

Benevento 0-1 Cavese in the Italy - Serie C on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Cavese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Benevento 62%, draw 21%, Cavese 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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