Cavese 1-2 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 36% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
35%
Away Win
47%
-12.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.1pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
0.95/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.70
-11% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavese
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Benevento
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2024 Benevento Benevento 2-1 HT 0-1 Cavese Cavese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
1-2
AWAY Benevento
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento nicked a narrow win over Cavese 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Benevento made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cavese had 51% of the ball to Benevento's 49%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Benevento?

Cavese 1-2 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavese win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cavese 35%, draw 30%, Benevento 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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