SS Monopoli 3-0 Torre Neapolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.28
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
75%
-17.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.6pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+11.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.2pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 9%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.25/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.79
+23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
431 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Torre Neapolis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 0-2 HT 0-2 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
17.03.2024 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
12.11.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 0-1 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
12.02.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
15.10.2022 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 0-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
02.02.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-1 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
3-0
AWAY Torre Neapolis
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Torre Neapolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli ran out comfortable winners over Torre Neapolis 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had SS Monopoli as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 52% of the ball to Torre Neapolis's 48%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SS Monopoli and 0.17 for Torre Neapolis.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Torre Neapolis?

SS Monopoli 3-0 Torre Neapolis in the Italy - Serie C on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Torre Neapolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 58%, draw 23%, Torre Neapolis 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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