Lucchese 3-3 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
24%
2.88
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
5.01
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.1pp
24%
Draw
31%
-7.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.11/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.00
-4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Pineto
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 Pineto Pineto 0-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
10.02.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-1 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
30.09.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 3-0 HT 2-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
3-3
AWAY Pineto
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucchese and Pineto shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lucchese at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lucchese had 37% of the ball to Pineto's 63%, shots finished 11-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lucchese had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lucchese and 0.33 for Pineto.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Pineto?

Lucchese 3-3 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 43%, draw 24%, Pineto 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lucchese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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