Pineto 0-0 Lucchese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.73
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+10.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucchese EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.00/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.79
-18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +48%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lucchese
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-1 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
30.09.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 3-0 HT 2-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
0-0
AWAY Lucchese
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Lucchese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto and Lucchese played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pineto had 48% of the ball to Lucchese's 52%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lucchese led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pineto and 2.00 for Lucchese.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Lucchese?

Pineto 0-0 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Lucchese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pineto 34%, draw 28%, Lucchese 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lucchese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lucchese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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