Ternana 1-2 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.86
Over 2.5
58%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.34
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.53
6+ Goals
14%
13.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.53 — our 30% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
50%
-8.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
50%
+8.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.97/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.54
+51% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Pescara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
28.04.2018 Ternana Ternana 0-3 HT 0-2 Pescara Pescara İTB
02.12.2017 Pescara Pescara 3-3 HT 2-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
26.03.2016 Ternana Ternana 1-0 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
07.11.2015 Pescara Pescara 1-2 HT 1-1 Ternana Ternana İTB
24.01.2015 Pescara Pescara 1-2 HT 1-1 Ternana Ternana İTB
07.09.2014 Ternana Ternana 1-1 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
1-2
AWAY Pescara
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara nicked a narrow win over Ternana 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ternana at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ternana had 58% of the ball to Pescara's 42%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ternana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ternana and 1.50 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Pescara?

Ternana 1-2 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ternana 43%, draw 26%, Pescara 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ternana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ternana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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