FeralpiSalo 0-0 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.5pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.53/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.47
-4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Novara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.04.2023 Novara Novara 1-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
11.12.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 4-0 HT 3-0 Novara Novara İTC
17.01.2015 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-1 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
0-0
AWAY Novara
74% Ball Possession 26%
1 Total Shots 0
1 Corners 1
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo and Novara fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was FeralpiSalo at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 74% of the ball to Novara's 26%, shots finished 1-0.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FeralpiSalo and 0.67 for Novara.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Novara?

FeralpiSalo 0-0 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 53%, draw 24%, Novara 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FeralpiSalo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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