SSC Giugliano 1-0 Taranto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
8.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 27% vs market 17.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
79%
-21.2pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.4pp
21%
Away Win
6%
+14.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.1pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Taranto EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Taranto
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2024 Taranto Taranto 1-0 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
08.10.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-1 HT 0-1 Taranto Taranto İTC
04.03.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
30.10.2022 Taranto Taranto 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
1-0
AWAY Taranto
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Taranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano edged past Taranto 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SSC Giugliano as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 51% of the ball to Taranto's 49%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SSC Giugliano had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for SSC Giugliano and 0.50 for Taranto.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Taranto?

SSC Giugliano 1-0 Taranto in the Italy - Serie C on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Taranto?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 58%, draw 21%, Taranto 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SSC Giugliano), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
23 Aug 2024
21:00 SPAL vs Ascoli Analysis →
21:45 US Latina vs Casertana Analysis →
21:45 Juventus II vs Audace Cerignola Analysis →
21:45 Pineto vs Lucchese Analysis →
21:45 Ternana vs Pescara Analysis →
21:45 FeralpiSalo vs Novara Analysis →