SPAL vs Ascoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SPAL v Ascoli — Team-Based Signals
SPAL vs Ascoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Ascoli
İTB
1-1
HT 1-1
SPAL
İTB
1-2
HT 0-1
Ascoli
İTB
0-1
HT 0-0
SPAL
İTB
1-2
HT 1-1
Ascoli
İTB
2-0
HT 1-0
SPAL
İTB
SPAL 2-2 Ascoli — Actual Match Statistics
SPAL and Ascoli shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, SPAL had 53% of the ball to Ascoli's 47%, shots finished 17-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ascoli led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for SPAL and 1.33 for Ascoli.
What was the final score of SPAL vs Ascoli?
SPAL 2-2 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SPAL vs Ascoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SPAL 38%, draw 30%, Ascoli 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.