US Latina 1-1 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.48
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.16/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.98
+6% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Casertana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
04.10.2023 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTCK
21.09.2023 US Latina US Latina 1-1 HT 1-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
1-1
AWAY Casertana
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina and Casertana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Casertana at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, US Latina had 48% of the ball to Casertana's 52%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, US Latina had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for US Latina and 0.67 for Casertana.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Casertana?

US Latina 1-1 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split US Latina 29%, draw 29%, Casertana 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casertana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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