Ascoli vs SPAL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ascoli v SPAL — Team-Based Signals
Ascoli vs SPAL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Ascoli
İTB
1-1
HT 1-1
SPAL
İTB
1-2
HT 0-1
Ascoli
İTB
0-1
HT 0-0
SPAL
İTB
1-2
HT 1-1
Ascoli
İTB
Ascoli 1-1 SPAL — Actual Match Statistics
Ascoli and SPAL shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Ascoli at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Ascoli had 51% of the ball to SPAL's 49%, shots finished 15-3.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ascoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ascoli and 1.17 for SPAL.
What was the final score of Ascoli vs SPAL?
Ascoli 1-1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ascoli vs SPAL?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 51%, draw 24%, SPAL 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.