Crotone 2-0 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +20%
1.18/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.10
-6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Catania
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.12.2025 Catania Catania 2-0 HT 1-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
17.08.2025 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTCK
23.03.2025 Catania Catania 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
10.11.2024 Crotone Crotone 3-2 HT 3-0 Catania Catania İTC
18.08.2024 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTCK
07.01.2024 Crotone Crotone 3-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
2-0
AWAY Catania
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone got the better of Catania 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Crotone made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Crotone had 57% of the ball to Catania's 43%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crotone and 0.83 for Catania.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Catania?

Crotone 2-0 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Crotone 38%, draw 31%, Catania 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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